Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 3.429734 3.958633 4.539085 5.223002 6.006444 6.875527 7.912468
2025-01-19 2.505747 3.150820 3.918345 4.897562 6.112452 7.569084 9.447274
2025-01-26 2.088633 2.829923 3.776078 5.069257 6.787837 8.990373 12.024935
2025-02-02 1.835503 2.658437 3.776570 5.401141 7.695363 10.813247 15.366138
2025-02-09 1.573080 2.421456 3.641733 5.515965 8.312363 12.319076 18.483913
2025-02-16 1.351958 2.200935 3.487570 5.566694 8.828201 13.731257 21.641180
2025-02-23 1.133367 1.944309 3.234721 5.420937 9.013706 14.660176 24.176572
2025-03-02 0.937855 1.690204 2.943475 5.162959 8.972332 15.212186 26.164808
2025-03-09 0.827669 1.561020 2.835239 5.185553 9.383224 16.524062 29.531263
2025-03-16 0.712540 1.403809 2.654384 5.052571 9.501312 17.346261 32.147440
2025-03-23 0.672333 1.378319 2.703287 5.335465 10.388918 19.594456 37.522464
2025-03-30 0.622651 1.326350 2.694533 5.506366 11.085472 21.569327 42.614952
2025-04-06 0.556696 1.234399 2.601598 5.512612 11.489862 23.090200 47.120125
2025-04-13 0.470916 1.087417 2.378366 5.226772 11.280403 23.415347 49.355791
2025-04-20 0.442230 1.059642 2.397089 5.445212 12.128715 25.924213 56.264001
2025-04-27 0.428780 1.064017 2.484890 5.823625 13.362748 29.358387 65.487290
2025-05-04 0.397863 1.022568 2.465443 5.961028 14.089249 31.813710 72.922948
2025-05-11 0.365221 0.971566 2.416750 6.024099 14.655810 33.987352 79.995656
2025-05-18 0.323225 0.890157 2.284735 5.871614 14.703810 35.018900 84.628529
2025-05-25 0.279889 0.797832 2.112460 5.595622 14.419053 35.255579 87.446852
2025-06-01 0.257333 0.757346 2.063823 5.621721 14.873329 37.257473 94.650068
2025-06-08 0.229318 0.697053 1.955523 5.478869 14.885046 38.204765 99.414277
2025-06-15 0.223650 0.699637 2.014057 5.785483 16.091376 42.198166 112.156122